Hot-hand fallacy

What it is

Believes that someone on a winning streak is more likely to keep winning in situations where outcomes are largely independent. (Whether a real "hot hand" exists in sport is still debated.)

Related

• Gambler's fallacy fallacy
  These are opposite beliefs about streaks in independent events: the gambler expects a reversal, the hot hand expects a continuation.
• Clustering illusion bias
  Streaks occur naturally in random sequences, and we read them as meaningful.
• Illusion of skill bias
  Seeing skill in a run of success mistakes luck for talent.

References

• Wikipedia: Hot-hand fallacy en.wikipedia.org
• Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy: Fallacies iep.utm.edu
• Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy: Fallacies plato.stanford.edu
• Wikipedia: List of fallacies en.wikipedia.org
• Purdue OWL: Logical fallacies owl.purdue.edu

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